Fidelis vs AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fidelisvs
AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APDThe model puts AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD (0-3-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Fidelis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD is priced at 2.375.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Fidelis at 35%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Fidelis is priced at 2.54. The draw is priced at 3.25. AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD is priced at 2.375.
AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Fidelis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fidelis or AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD?
Our model rates AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fidelis vs AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Fidelis wins, 3 draws, 2 AS Bisceglie 1913 Don Uva APD wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.