ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Lucchese: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ASD Seravezza Calciovs
LuccheseThe model puts Lucchese at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours ASD Seravezza Calcio.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lucchese are on 2 wins in a row.
- Lucchese have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
- Lucchese is priced at 2.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Lucchese at 40%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts ASD Seravezza Calcio at 30%.
Lucchese are on 2 wins in a row. Lucchese have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 53% for both teams to score.
ASD Seravezza Calcio have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ASD Seravezza Calcio or Lucchese?
Our model rates Lucchese as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Lucchese?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 ASD Seravezza Calcio wins, 1 draws, 0 Lucchese wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.