Abu Muslim Farah vs Toofan Herat: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Abu Muslim Farahvs
Toofan HeratThe model puts Abu Muslim Farah at 78%. The model leans toward Abu Muslim Farah. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Abu Muslim Farah.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Abu Muslim Farah have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Toofan Herat have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Abu Muslim Farah is priced at 1.15.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 8 | 4 | ||||
| 2 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 7 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Abu Muslim Farah at 78%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Toofan Herat at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-0.
The market leans toward Abu Muslim Farah. Abu Muslim Farah is priced at 1.15. The draw is priced at 5.61. Toofan Herat is priced at 12.8.
Abu Muslim Farah have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Abu Muslim Farah are on 3 wins in a row. Toofan Herat have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 70% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Abu Muslim Farah or Toofan Herat?
Our model rates Abu Muslim Farah as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Abu Muslim Farah vs Toofan Herat?
A scoreline around 3-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.