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Afghanistan. Champions League

Omar Zawak vs Sorkh Poshan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Omar Zawak Omar ZawakvsSorkh Poshan Sorkh Poshan
Our predictionSorkh Poshan to win
Model score: High · 75/100
Score hint: 0-2

Sorkh Poshan are on 5 wins in a row. Sorkh Poshan have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Omar Zawak7%
Draw17%
2 · Sorkh Poshan76%
1 · Omar ZawakDraw2 · Sorkh Poshan
Full team comparison →
Team strength rating
Omar Zawak
44
Sorkh Poshan
90

Expected goals

0.59Omar Zawak
xG
2.94Sorkh Poshan
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score42%

Recent form

Omar ZawakWWLWW
Sorkh PoshanWWWWW

Most likely scorelines

0-212.6%
0-312.4%
0-49.1%
0-18.6%
1-27.5%
1-37.3%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Omar Zawak Sorkh Poshan

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Sorkh Poshan win1.17Fair (-0.7%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
039131295
1257753
22222
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Omar Zawak14.30+0.8%
1X2Draw5.36-0.1%
1X2Sorkh Poshan1.17-0.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

Sorkh Poshan have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Sorkh Poshan are on 5 wins in a row.

Omar Zawak have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Omar Zawak are on 2 wins in a row.

The model puts Sorkh Poshan at 76%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Omar Zawak at 7%.

The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2. The model gives 68% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Omar Zawak or Sorkh Poshan?

Our model rates Sorkh Poshan as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Omar Zawak vs Sorkh Poshan?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.