Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Wadi Degla: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Ittihad Alexandriavs
Wadi DeglaThe model puts Al Ittihad Alexandria at 46%. The model leans toward Al Ittihad Alexandria. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Al Ittihad Alexandria (8-4-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Ittihad Alexandria have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wadi Degla have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Ittihad Alexandria have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al Ittihad Alexandria is priced at 2.08.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Ittihad Alexandria at 46%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Wadi Degla at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Al Ittihad Alexandria is priced at 2.08. The draw is priced at 2.85. Wadi Degla is priced at 3.605.
Al Ittihad Alexandria have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Wadi Degla have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al Ittihad Alexandria have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Wadi Degla have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Ittihad Alexandria or Wadi Degla?
Our model rates Al Ittihad Alexandria as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Wadi Degla?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Al Ittihad Alexandria wins, 4 draws, 3 Wadi Degla wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.