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Afghanistan. Champions League

Istiqlal Kabul vs Arman: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Istiqlal Kabul Istiqlal KabulvsArman Arman
Our predictionArman to win
Model score: Medium · 46/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Arman at 55%. The model leans toward Arman. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Istiqlal Kabul23%
Draw22%
2 · Arman55%
1 · Istiqlal KabulDraw2 · Arman
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.52.37+13.1%
BTTSNo2.30+10.9%
1X2Istiqlal Kabul4.09+0.7%
1X2Draw4.08-0.2%
1X2Arman1.61-0.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Istiqlal Kabul
34
Arman
57

Most likely scorelines

0-112.3%
1-111.5%
0-210.3%
1-29.6%
0-07.4%
1-06.9%

Recent form

Istiqlal KabulLLWLL
ArmanLWLDL

Expected goals

0.94Istiqlal Kabul
xG
1.67Arman
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score49%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Istiqlal Kabul Arman

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Arman win1.61Fair
Double chanceArman or draw—Info
Total goalsUnder 2.52.37Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07121062
17121052
235531
3121
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Istiqlal Kabul at 23%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Arman at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Arman. Istiqlal Kabul is priced at 4.095. The draw is priced at 4.08. Arman is priced at 1.61.

Istiqlal Kabul have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Arman have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Istiqlal Kabul or Arman?

Our model rates Arman as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Istiqlal Kabul vs Arman?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.303.612.912.221.53
Home 4.09 Draw 4.08 Away 1.61

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.