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China. Champions League

Xingtai Shahe Wanlu vs Guangdong Wuchuan Youth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Xingtai Shahe Wanlu Xingtai Shahe WanluvsGuangdong Wuchuan Youth Guangdong Wuchuan Youth
Our predictionXingtai Shahe Wanlu to win
Model score: Medium · 47/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Xingtai Shahe Wanlu at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Xingtai Shahe Wanlu44%
Draw23%
2 · Guangdong Wuchuan Youth33%
1 · Xingtai Shahe WanluDraw2 · Guangdong Wuchuan Youth
Full team comparison →

Expected goals

1.92Xingtai Shahe Wanlu
xG
1.37Guangdong Wuchuan Youth
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score64%
Team strength rating
Xingtai Shahe Wanlu
68
Guangdong Wuchuan Youth
59

Most likely scorelines

1-19.8%
2-19.4%
1-07.1%
2-06.8%
1-26.7%
2-26.5%

Recent form

Xingtai Shahe WanluWWDW
Guangdong Wuchuan YouthWWLW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Xingtai Shahe Wanlu Guangdong Wuchuan Youth

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Xingtai Shahe Wanlu win2.06Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceXingtai Shahe Wanlu or draw—Info
Total goalsOver 2.51.46Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04532
1710731
279631
34642
4232
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.46+1.2%
1X2Xingtai Shahe Wanlu2.06+0.5%
BTTSNo2.55+0.3%
1X2Draw3.84-0.2%
1X2Guangdong Wuchuan Youth2.75-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Xingtai Shahe Wanlu at 44%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Guangdong Wuchuan Youth at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Xingtai Shahe Wanlu is priced at 2.06. The draw is priced at 3.84. Guangdong Wuchuan Youth is priced at 2.745.

Xingtai Shahe Wanlu have 3 wins in their last 4 matches. Xingtai Shahe Wanlu are on 2 wins in a row. Guangdong Wuchuan Youth have 3 wins in their last 4 matches. Guangdong Wuchuan Youth are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Xingtai Shahe Wanlu or Guangdong Wuchuan Youth?

Our model rates Xingtai Shahe Wanlu as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Xingtai Shahe Wanlu vs Guangdong Wuchuan Youth?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.