Jiangsu Changjin vs Shaanxi Lianteng: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Jiangsu Changjinvs
Shaanxi LiantengThe model puts Shaanxi Lianteng at 55%. The model leans toward Shaanxi Lianteng. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Shaanxi Lianteng.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Jiangsu Changjin have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Shaanxi Lianteng have 4 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Shaanxi Lianteng is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Jiangsu Changjin at 24%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Shaanxi Lianteng at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Shaanxi Lianteng. Jiangsu Changjin is priced at 3.76. The draw is priced at 4.06. Shaanxi Lianteng is priced at 1.67.
Jiangsu Changjin have 1 wins in their last 4 matches. Shaanxi Lianteng have 4 wins in their last 4 matches. Shaanxi Lianteng are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 70% for both teams to score. The model gives 76% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Jiangsu Changjin or Shaanxi Lianteng?
Our model rates Shaanxi Lianteng as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Jiangsu Changjin vs Shaanxi Lianteng?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.