VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. Heidenheim: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfL Wolfsburgvs
1. HeidenheimThe model puts VfL Wolfsburg at 56%. The model leans toward VfL Wolfsburg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours VfL Wolfsburg (6-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- VfL Wolfsburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Heidenheim have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Wolfsburg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- VfL Wolfsburg is priced at 1.73.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfL Wolfsburg at 56%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts 1. Heidenheim at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward VfL Wolfsburg. VfL Wolfsburg is priced at 1.73. The draw is priced at 3.85. 1. Heidenheim is priced at 4.305.
VfL Wolfsburg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Heidenheim have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
VfL Wolfsburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Heidenheim have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
VfL Wolfsburg average 2 goals per game this season. VfL Wolfsburg average 58% possession. 1. Heidenheim average 1 goals per game this season. 1. Heidenheim average 40% possession.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfL Wolfsburg or 1. Heidenheim?
Our model rates VfL Wolfsburg as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. Heidenheim?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 6 VfL Wolfsburg wins, 2 draws, 1 1. Heidenheim wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 17 |
| 3 | 1. Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 4 |  1. Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 12 |
| 6 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:16 | 8 |
| 9 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabruck | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 12 |  VfL Bochum | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 14 | 1. Magdeburg | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 15 |  Greuther Furth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.