1. Kaiserslautern vs VfL Bochum: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1. Kaiserslauternvs
VfL BochumThe model puts 1. Kaiserslautern at 45%. The model leans toward 1. Kaiserslautern. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours 1. Kaiserslautern.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. Kaiserslautern have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Bochum have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Kaiserslautern have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Kaiserslautern is priced at 2.17.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts 1. Kaiserslautern at 45%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts VfL Bochum at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward 1. Kaiserslautern. 1. Kaiserslautern is priced at 2.17. The draw is priced at 3.5. VfL Bochum is priced at 3.09.
1. Kaiserslautern have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. VfL Bochum have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
1. Kaiserslautern have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. VfL Bochum have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
1. Kaiserslautern average 2 goals per game this season. 1. Kaiserslautern average 54% possession. VfL Bochum average 2 goals per game this season. VfL Bochum average 48% possession.
The model gives 68% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1. Kaiserslautern or VfL Bochum?
Our model rates 1. Kaiserslautern as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1. Kaiserslautern vs VfL Bochum?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 1. Kaiserslautern wins, 6 draws, 5 VfL Bochum wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 17 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 4 |  1. Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 12 |
| 6 | 1. Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:16 | 8 |
| 9 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabruck | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 12 | VfL Bochum | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 14 | 1. Magdeburg | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 15 |  Greuther Furth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.