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Saudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League

Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq Dammam: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Neom SC Neom SCvsAl Ettifaq Dammam Al Ettifaq Dammam
Our predictionNeom SC to win
Model score: Medium · 49/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Neom SC at 48%. The model leans toward Neom SC. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

✗Our prediction missed (predicted: Neom SC · actual: Al Ettifaq Dammam)

Win probabilities

1 · Neom SC48%
Draw26%
2 · Al Ettifaq Dammam26%
1 · Neom SCDraw2 · Al Ettifaq Dammam
Full team comparison →
Team strength rating
Neom SC
63
Al Ettifaq Dammam
47

Most likely scorelines

1-012.0%
1-111.6%
2-09.9%
2-19.6%
0-07.2%
0-17.0%

Recent form

Neom SCWDWWW
Al Ettifaq DammamWDDDW

Expected goals

1.66Neom SC
xG
0.97Al Ettifaq Dammam
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Neom SC Al Ettifaq Dammam

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Neom SC win2.00Fair
Double chanceNeom SC or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07731
1121262
2101052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Neom SC2.00+0.2%
1X2Draw3.66+0.2%
1X2Al Ettifaq Dammam3.56-0.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Neom SC at 48%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Al Ettifaq Dammam at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Neom SC. Neom SC is priced at 1.995. The draw is priced at 3.66. Al Ettifaq Dammam is priced at 3.56.

The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.

Neom SC have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Al Ettifaq Dammam have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Neom SC or Al Ettifaq Dammam?

Our model rates Neom SC as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq Dammam?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings: 0 Neom SC wins, 3 draws, 0 Al Ettifaq Dammam wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.