Energie Cottbus vs Nurnberg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Energie Cottbusvs
NurnbergThe model puts Nurnberg at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Energie Cottbus (5-7-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Energie Cottbus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nurnberg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Energie Cottbus have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nurnberg is priced at 2.01.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Energie Cottbus at 33%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Nurnberg at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-3.
The market leans toward Nurnberg. Energie Cottbus is priced at 3.1. The draw is priced at 4. Nurnberg is priced at 2.01.
Energie Cottbus have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Nurnberg have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 7 of their head-to-head meetings.
Energie Cottbus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Nurnberg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Energie Cottbus average 3 goals per game this season. Energie Cottbus average 50% possession. Nurnberg average 3 goals per game this season. Nurnberg average 56% possession.
The model gives 85% for both teams to score. The model gives 88% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Energie Cottbus or Nurnberg?
Our model rates Nurnberg as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Energie Cottbus vs Nurnberg?
A scoreline around 2-3 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 5 Energie Cottbus wins, 7 draws, 2 Nurnberg wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 17 |
| 3 |  1. Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 4 |  1. Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 12 |
| 6 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:16 | 8 |
| 9 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabruck | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 12 |  VfL Bochum | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 14 | 1. Magdeburg | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 15 |  Greuther Furth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.