Karlsruher vs Darmstadt 98: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Karlsruhervs
Darmstadt 98The model puts Karlsruher at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Darmstadt 98.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Karlsruher are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Darmstadt 98 are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Karlsruher have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Karlsruher have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Karlsruher will be without Santos H., Broschinski.
- Darmstadt 98 will be without Marseiler, Sickinger, Bader, Nuernberger, Papela M..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Karlsruher at 41%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Darmstadt 98 at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Karlsruher is priced at 2.22. The draw is priced at 3.75. Darmstadt 98 is priced at 2.83.
Karlsruher have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Darmstadt 98 have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Karlsruher have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Darmstadt 98 are on 2 wins in a row.
Karlsruher average 1 goals per game this season. Karlsruher average 52% possession. Darmstadt 98 average 0 goals per game this season. Darmstadt 98 average 41% possession.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 17% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Karlsruher or Darmstadt 98?
Our model rates Karlsruher as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Karlsruher vs Darmstadt 98?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Karlsruher wins, 4 draws, 6 Darmstadt 98 wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Karlsruher
- 1Bernat
- 2Jung S.
- 3Ofli
- 10Wanitzek
- 11Eichinger
- 13Fukuda
- 22Kobald
- 24Tremoulet
- 25Egloff
- 26Zor
- 28Franke M.
- Santos H. (Questionable)
- Broschinski (Missing Player)
Darmstadt 98
- 1Schuhen
- 5Richter M.
- 6Pfeiffer
- 7Weisshaupt
- 9Lee H-J.
- 16Akiyama H.
- 17Klefisch
- 18Petretta
- 20Vukotic
- 28Lannert
- 36Smith
- Marseiler (Missing Player)
- Sickinger (Missing Player)
- Bader (Missing Player)
- Nuernberger (Missing Player)
- Papela M. (Missing Player)
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:13 | 15 |
| 4 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:4 | 15 |
| 5 |  1. Heidenheim | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 6 |  1. Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 9 |  Greuther Furth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 10 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 11 |  VfL Osnabruck | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 14 |  VfL Bochum | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 16 |  Holstein | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Karlsruher | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:14 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.