France. Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Stade Brestois 29vs

Nice

Our predictionStade Brestois 29 to win

Model score: Medium · 53/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Stade Brestois 29 at 46%. The model leans toward Stade Brestois 29. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Nice.
+Stade Brestois 29 score more per game (2.0 at home vs 0.0 away).
+The head-to-head record favours Stade Brestois 29 (7-5-3).
+Stade Brestois 29 creates more chances (21 vs 13 shots per game).
−Nice controls more of the ball (48% vs 59%).
−Stade Brestois 29 are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Stade Brestois 2946%

Draw24%

2 · Nice30%

1 · Stade Brestois 29Draw2 · Nice

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.32+17.8%

1X2Stade Brestois 292.23+3.2%

1X2Nice3.24+1.2%

1X2Draw3.36-4.4%

BTTSYes1.55-17.8%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Stade Brestois 29LLLLD

NiceDLDLW

Expected goals

1.30Stade Brestois 29

0.87Nice

Over 2.5 goals37%

Both teams to score42%

Team strength rating

Stade Brestois 29

Nice

Most likely scorelines

1-014.9%

1-112.9%

0-011.5%

0-19.9%

2-09.7%

2-18.4%

Match DNA

Stade Brestois 29 Nice

Key points

Stade Brestois 29 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Nice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Stade Brestois 29 have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
Stade Brestois 29 will be without Le Guen, Versini, Chardonnet B..
Nice will be without Abdi, Abergel L., Bombito, Mendi A., Sanson M..

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Stade Brestois 29 win2.23Fair (+3.2%)

Double chanceStade Brestois 29 or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	11	10	4	1
1	15	13	6	2
2	10	8	4	1
3	4	4	2
4	1	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Stade Brestois 29 at 46%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Nice at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Stade Brestois 29. Stade Brestois 29 is priced at 2.225. The draw is priced at 3.36. Nice is priced at 3.24.

Stade Brestois 29 have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Nice have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.

Stade Brestois 29 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Nice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

Stade Brestois 29 average 2 goals per game this season. Stade Brestois 29 average 48% possession. Nice average 0 goals per game this season. Nice average 59% possession.

The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Stade Brestois 29 or Nice?

Our model rates Stade Brestois 29 as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 15 meetings: 7 Stade Brestois 29 wins, 5 draws, 3 Nice wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

Home 2.23 Draw 3.36 Away 3.24

Match statistics

Player of the matchSelvikStade Brestois 298.0