RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Elversberg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
RasenBallsport Leipzigvs
ElversbergThe model puts RasenBallsport Leipzig at 72%. The model leans toward RasenBallsport Leipzig. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours RasenBallsport Leipzig.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- RasenBallsport Leipzig have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Elversberg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RasenBallsport Leipzig have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- RasenBallsport Leipzig is priced at 1.336.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts RasenBallsport Leipzig at 72%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Elversberg at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward RasenBallsport Leipzig. RasenBallsport Leipzig is priced at 1.336. The draw is priced at 5.85. Elversberg is priced at 7.4.
RasenBallsport Leipzig have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Elversberg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
RasenBallsport Leipzig have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. RasenBallsport Leipzig are on 2 wins in a row. Elversberg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, RasenBallsport Leipzig or Elversberg?
Our model rates RasenBallsport Leipzig as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for RasenBallsport Leipzig vs Elversberg?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 RasenBallsport Leipzig wins, 0 draws, 1 Elversberg wins.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern Munich | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16:4 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 10 |
| 5 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 9 |
| 6 |  Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 8 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 9 | Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. Koln | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:15 | 6 |
| 13 |  Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 15 |  Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:17 | 4 |
| 17 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7:18 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.