Houston Dynamo vs Dallas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Houston Dynamovs
DallasThe model puts Houston Dynamo at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Dallas.
- −Dallas score more per game (1.0 at home vs 2.0 away).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Houston Dynamo are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Dallas are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Houston Dynamo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dallas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Houston Dynamo have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Houston Dynamo will be without Andrade, Maurer J..
- Dallas will be without Farrington, Geovane, Anderson Ju..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Houston Dynamo at 42%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Dallas at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Houston Dynamo. Houston Dynamo is priced at 2.075. The draw is priced at 3.54. Dallas is priced at 3.44.
Houston Dynamo have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Dallas have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Houston Dynamo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Dallas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Houston Dynamo average 1 goals per game this season. Houston Dynamo average 46% possession. Dallas average 2 goals per game this season. Dallas average 41% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Houston Dynamo or Dallas?
Our model rates Houston Dynamo as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs Dallas?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Houston Dynamo wins, 6 draws, 4 Dallas wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.