Al Draih vs Al-Taawon: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Draihvs
Al-TaawonThe model puts Al Draih at 50%. The model leans toward Al Draih. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Al Draih.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Draih have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Al-Taawon have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Draih is priced at 1.831.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Draih at 50%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Al-Taawon at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Al Draih. Al Draih is priced at 1.831. The draw is priced at 3.725. Al-Taawon is priced at 3.92.
Al Draih have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Al-Taawon have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 31% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Draih or Al-Taawon?
Our model rates Al Draih as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Draih vs Al-Taawon?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.