Como vs Sassuolo Calcio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Comovs
Sassuolo CalcioThe model puts Como at 66%. The model leans toward Como. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Sassuolo Calcio (1-0-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Como have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sassuolo Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Como have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Como is priced at 1.432.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Como at 66%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Sassuolo Calcio at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Como. Como is priced at 1.432. The draw is priced at 4.76. Sassuolo Calcio is priced at 6.85.
Como have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Sassuolo Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Como have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Sassuolo Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Como average 2 goals per game this season. Como average 64% possession. Sassuolo Calcio average 1 goals per game this season. Sassuolo Calcio average 49% possession.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Como or Sassuolo Calcio?
Our model rates Como as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Como vs Sassuolo Calcio?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Como wins, 0 draws, 2 Sassuolo Calcio wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 3 |  Roma | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari Calcio | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Milan | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone Calcio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna 1909 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese Calcio | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:13 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza 1912 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5:16 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.