Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Platense: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrimavs
PlatenseThe model puts Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima.
- −Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Platense are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Platense have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima will be without Gonzalez Im., Guiffrey, O'Connor, Geronimo Patritti, Saavedra.
- Platense will be without Bobadilla, Ferreyra, Jimenez, Goni M., Nasif, Quiros Ha., Vazquez Ig..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima at 41%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Platense at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima is priced at 2.522. The draw is priced at 3.03. Platense is priced at 3.06.
Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Platense have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima or Platense?
Our model rates Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Platense?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima wins, 1 draws, 0 Platense wins.
Match statistics
Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima
- 2Mondino
- 3Recalde
- 4Munoz Ez.
- 7Cingolani
- 8Vargas Mat.
- 9Modica
- 21Antonini F.
- 23Rigamonti
- 26Lencioni
- 30Fernandez Es.
- 32Paredes
- Gonzalez Im. (Missing Player)
- Guiffrey (Questionable)
- O'Connor (Missing Player)
- Geronimo Patritti (Missing Player)
- Saavedra (Missing Player)
Platense
- 3Tomas Sil.
- 4Lagos
- 5Gomez Iv.
- 7Mainero
- 18Merlini B.
- 24Barrios Santos
- 30Cozzani
- 31Cuesta V.
- 34Mendia
- 43Retamar
- 79Sepulveda B.
- Bobadilla (Missing Player)
- Ferreyra (Missing Player)
- Jimenez (Missing Player)
- Goni M. (Missing Player)
- Nasif (Missing Player)
- Quiros Ha. (Missing Player)
- Vazquez Ig. (Missing Player)
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 29 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 3 |  Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 24 |
| 4 |  Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 23 |
| 6 |  Newell's Old Boys | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13:10 | 20 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 8 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 9 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 7:12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 11 |  Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 15 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 12:20 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.