Argentina. Primera Division

Talleres de Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Talleres de Cordobavs

Defensa y Justicia

Our predictionTalleres de Cordoba to win

Model score: Medium · 50/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Talleres de Cordoba at 45%. The model leans toward Talleres de Cordoba. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Talleres de Cordoba.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
−Talleres de Cordoba are dealing with notable absentees.
+Defensa y Justicia are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Talleres de Cordoba45%

Draw28%

2 · Defensa y Justicia27%

1 · Talleres de CordobaDraw2 · Defensa y Justicia

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Talleres de Cordoba2.24+2.5%

BTTSYes1.84+0.7%

BTTSNo1.86-0.7%

1X2Defensa y Justicia3.31-1.2%

1X2Draw3.29-1.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Talleres de CordobaWWLDL

Defensa y JusticiaLDLLL

Team strength rating

Talleres de Cordoba

Defensa y Justicia

Most likely scorelines

1-111.9%

1-011.6%

2-19.5%

2-09.3%

0-17.4%

0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.60Talleres de Cordoba

1.02Defensa y Justicia

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

Talleres de Cordoba Defensa y Justicia

Key points

Talleres de Cordoba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Defensa y Justicia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Talleres de Cordoba have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Talleres de Cordoba will be without Thiago Baroni, Cristaldo F., Gomes.
Defensa y Justicia will be without Perez, Roman, Souto, Banega.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Talleres de Cordoba win2.24Fair (+2.5%)

Double chanceTalleres de Cordoba or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	7	4	1
1	12	12	6	2
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3
4	2	2	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Talleres de Cordoba at 45%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Defensa y Justicia at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Talleres de Cordoba. Talleres de Cordoba is priced at 2.238. The draw is priced at 3.29. Defensa y Justicia is priced at 3.31.

Talleres de Cordoba have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Defensa y Justicia have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.

Talleres de Cordoba have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Talleres de Cordoba are on 2 wins in a row. Defensa y Justicia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Talleres de Cordoba or Defensa y Justicia?

Our model rates Talleres de Cordoba as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Talleres de Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 11 meetings: 3 Talleres de Cordoba wins, 4 draws, 4 Defensa y Justicia wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchGalarzaTalleres de Cordoba8.1