Al-Qadisiyah vs Abha: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al-Qadisiyahvs
AbhaThe model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 87%. The model leans toward Al-Qadisiyah. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Al-Qadisiyah.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Qadisiyah have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Abha have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Qadisiyah have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al-Qadisiyah is priced at 1.059.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 17 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 17 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 11 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 87%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Abha at 4%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Al-Qadisiyah. Al-Qadisiyah is priced at 1.059. The draw is priced at 11.9. Abha is priced at 23.
Al-Qadisiyah have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Abha have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al-Qadisiyah have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Abha have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al-Qadisiyah or Abha?
Our model rates Al-Qadisiyah as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al-Qadisiyah vs Abha?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 3 Al-Qadisiyah wins, 4 draws, 3 Abha wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.