Argentina. Primera Division

Club Atletico Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Club Atletico Tigrevs

Atletico Tucuman

Our predictionClub Atletico Tigre to win

Model score: High · 65/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Club Atletico Tigre at 54%. The model leans toward Club Atletico Tigre. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Club Atletico Tigre.
−The head-to-head record favours Atletico Tucuman (2-6-5).
−Club Atletico Tigre are dealing with notable absentees.
+Atletico Tucuman are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Club Atletico Tigre54%

Draw25%

2 · Atletico Tucuman21%

1 · Club Atletico TigreDraw2 · Atletico Tucuman

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes2.28+6.3%

1X2Atletico Tucuman5.10+2.1%

1X2Club Atletico Tigre1.76+0.4%

1X2Draw3.47-2.5%

BTTSNo1.56-6.3%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Club Atletico TigreWDWLW

Atletico TucumanDWLWL

Team strength rating

Club Atletico Tigre

Atletico Tucuman

Most likely scorelines

1-013.0%

2-011.8%

1-110.6%

2-19.7%

3-07.2%

0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.82Club Atletico Tigre

0.82Atletico Tucuman

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score47%

Match DNA

Club Atletico Tigre Atletico Tucuman

Key points

Club Atletico Tigre have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Atletico Tucuman have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Club Atletico Tigre have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Club Atletico Tigre will be without Arias, Minniti, Rivero.
Atletico Tucuman will be without Brandan, Benitez Mar., Ortiz, Suso, Pimenta.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Club Atletico Tigre win1.76Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	6	2
1	13	11	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	2
4	3	3	1
5	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Club Atletico Tigre at 54%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Atletico Tucuman at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Club Atletico Tigre. Club Atletico Tigre is priced at 1.757. The draw is priced at 3.47. Atletico Tucuman is priced at 5.1.

Club Atletico Tigre have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Atletico Tucuman have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.

Club Atletico Tigre have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Atletico Tucuman have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Club Atletico Tigre or Atletico Tucuman?

Our model rates Club Atletico Tigre as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Club Atletico Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 13 meetings: 2 Club Atletico Tigre wins, 6 draws, 5 Atletico Tucuman wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchRodriguezAtletico Tucuman8.3