Atlante vs Pumas UNAM: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atlantevs
Pumas UNAMThe model puts Pumas UNAM at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Pumas UNAM (1-3-8).
- −Pumas UNAM are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Atlante have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pumas UNAM have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atlante have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Atlante will be without Meza H..
- Pumas UNAM will be without Calderon De Real, Cordova, Huerta Se., da Silva N.A., Macias J..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Atlante at 36%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Pumas UNAM at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Atlante is priced at 2.57. The draw is priced at 3.46. Pumas UNAM is priced at 2.45.
Atlante have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Pumas UNAM have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Atlante have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Pumas UNAM have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atlante or Pumas UNAM?
Our model rates Pumas UNAM as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atlante vs Pumas UNAM?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 1 Atlante wins, 3 draws, 8 Pumas UNAM wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.