Pohang Steelers vs Darul Takzim: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pohang Steelersvs
Darul TakzimThe model puts Darul Takzim at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Darul Takzim (1-0-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pohang Steelers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Darul Takzim have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pohang Steelers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Darul Takzim is priced at 2.208.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pohang Steelers at 31%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Darul Takzim at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Darul Takzim. Pohang Steelers is priced at 3.1. The draw is priced at 3.6. Darul Takzim is priced at 2.208.
Pohang Steelers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Darul Takzim have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Pohang Steelers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Darul Takzim have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pohang Steelers or Darul Takzim?
Our model rates Darul Takzim as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pohang Steelers vs Darul Takzim?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Pohang Steelers wins, 0 draws, 2 Darul Takzim wins.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League Elite - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Shanghai Port | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Darul Takzim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Port | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 |  Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Hanoi Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.