Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert vs Xinjiang Bingchao: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guangdong Chenxing Chuangertvs
Xinjiang BingchaoThe model puts Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert at 49%. The model leans toward Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Xinjiang Bingchao have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert is priced at 1.93.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert at 49%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Xinjiang Bingchao at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert. Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert is priced at 1.93. The draw is priced at 3.79. Xinjiang Bingchao is priced at 3.045.
Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Xinjiang Bingchao have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert or Xinjiang Bingchao?
Our model rates Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guangdong Chenxing Chuangert vs Xinjiang Bingchao?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.