Al-Taawon vs Al Rayyan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Al Rayyan at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Al-Taawon.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Taawon have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Rayyan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Rayyan is priced at 2.131.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al-Taawon at 34%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Al Rayyan at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Al Rayyan. Al-Taawon is priced at 3.005. The draw is priced at 3.66. Al Rayyan is priced at 2.131.
The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al-Taawon have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Al Rayyan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al-Taawon or Al Rayyan?
Our model rates Al Rayyan as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al-Taawon vs Al Rayyan?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Al-Taawon wins, 2 draws, 0 Al Rayyan wins.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.