Al-Muharraq vs Gol Gohar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Gol Gohar at 35%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Gol Gohar.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Muharraq have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Gol Gohar have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Gol Gohar is priced at 2.849.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al-Muharraq at 34%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Gol Gohar at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Al-Muharraq is priced at 2.661. The draw is priced at 2.869. Gol Gohar is priced at 2.849.
Al-Muharraq have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Gol Gohar have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 63% for both teams to score. The model gives 61% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al-Muharraq or Gol Gohar?
Our model rates Gol Gohar as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al-Muharraq vs Gol Gohar?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.