Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Arkadag: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Jazira Abu Dhabivs
ArkadagThe model puts Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 77%. The model leans toward Al Jazira Abu Dhabi. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Jazira Abu Dhabi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Jazira Abu Dhabi is priced at 1.213.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 26 | 7 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 10 | 2 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | |||||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 77%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Arkadag at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Al Jazira Abu Dhabi. Al Jazira Abu Dhabi is priced at 1.213. The draw is priced at 6.23. Arkadag is priced at 11.
Al Jazira Abu Dhabi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 26% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi or Arkadag?
Our model rates Al Jazira Abu Dhabi as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Arkadag?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Wahda Abu Dhabi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Nasaf Qarshi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Al Khalidiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Al Kuwait SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.