Gangwon vs Phnom Penh Crown: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gangwonvs
Phnom Penh CrownThe model puts Gangwon at 67%. The model leans toward Gangwon. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Gangwon have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gangwon is priced at 1.4.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 22 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Gangwon at 67%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Phnom Penh Crown at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Gangwon. Gangwon is priced at 1.4. The draw is priced at 4.555. Phnom Penh Crown is priced at 7.05.
Gangwon have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 26% for both teams to score. The model gives 30% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gangwon or Phnom Penh Crown?
Our model rates Gangwon as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gangwon vs Phnom Penh Crown?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Wahda Abu Dhabi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 2 |  Al Kuwait SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 |  Nasaf Qarshi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Al Khalidiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.