Sport Club Internacional vs Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sport Club Internacionalvs
Botafogo de Futebol e RegatasThe model puts Sport Club Internacional at 49%. The model leans toward Sport Club Internacional. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Sport Club Internacional creates more chances (17 vs 12 shots per game).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Sport Club Internacional have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sport Club Internacional have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sport Club Internacional is priced at 1.984.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sport Club Internacional at 49%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Sport Club Internacional. Sport Club Internacional is priced at 1.984. The draw is priced at 3.62. Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas is priced at 3.64.
Sport Club Internacional have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sport Club Internacional have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Sport Club Internacional average 1 goals per game this season. Sport Club Internacional average 48% possession. Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas average 1 goals per game this season. Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas average 47% possession.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sport Club Internacional or Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas?
Our model rates Sport Club Internacional as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sport Club Internacional vs Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Sport Club Internacional wins, 1 draws, 8 Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:25 | 67 |
| 2 |  Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 54:22 | 66 |
| 3 |  Clube Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49:37 | 53 |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 50:46 | 51 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49:39 | 51 |
| 6 |  Clube Atletico Mineiro | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 44:39 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:46 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 36:35 | 42 |
| 10 |  Red Bull Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 44:48 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 38:49 | 39 |
| 13 |  EC Vitoria Salvador | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 36:44 | 36 |
| 15 |  CR Vasco da Gama | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:43 | 35 |
| 16 |  Corinthians Paulista | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 32:39 | 33 |
| 17 | Sport Club Internacional | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 33:40 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio Porto Alegrense | 31 | 7 | 14 | 10 | 34:44 | 31 |
| 19 |  Clube do Remo | 31 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 34:49 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 30 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 30:62 | 18 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.