Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Roma at 87%. The model leans toward Roma. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Roma have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Roma is priced at 1.09.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 2 | 22 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 15 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 8 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Roma at 87%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Slovan Bratislava at 4%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Roma. Roma is priced at 1.09. The draw is priced at 10.5. Slovan Bratislava is priced at 24.
Slovan Bratislava have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Roma have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Roma average 1 goals per game this season. Roma average 58% possession. Slovan Bratislava average 1 goals per game this season. Slovan Bratislava average 28% possession.
The model gives 16% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Roma or Slovan Bratislava?
Our model rates Roma as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Roma wins, 1 draws, 1 Slovan Bratislava wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:6 | 3 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 | |
| 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:7 | 1 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 | |
| 30 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 | |
| 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.