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UEFA Champions League

Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Roma RomavsSlovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
Our predictionRoma to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Roma at 87%. The model leans toward Roma. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Roma87%
Draw9%
2 · Slovan Bratislava4%
1 · RomaDraw2 · Slovan Bratislava
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.75+30.9%
1X2Roma1.09+0.1%
1X2Slovan Bratislava24.00-0.0%
1X2Draw10.50-0.1%
BTTSYes1.99-30.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Roma
71
Slovan Bratislava
32

Expected goals

2.07Roma
xG
0.20Slovan Bratislava
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score16%

Recent form

RomaLDDWD
Slovan BratislavaLDWWD

Most likely scorelines

2-022.1%
1-021.4%
3-015.3%
0-010.4%
4-07.9%
2-14.4%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Roma Slovan Bratislava

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Roma win1.09Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0102
1214
2224
3153
482
53

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Roma at 87%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Slovan Bratislava at 4%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Roma. Roma is priced at 1.09. The draw is priced at 10.5. Slovan Bratislava is priced at 24.

Slovan Bratislava have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Roma have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

Roma average 1 goals per game this season. Roma average 58% possession. Slovan Bratislava average 1 goals per game this season. Slovan Bratislava average 28% possession.

The model gives 16% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Roma or Slovan Bratislava?

Our model rates Roma as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 Roma wins, 1 draws, 1 Slovan Bratislava wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Champions League (League stage)
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Paris Saint-Germain220010:36
2Barcelona22009:26
3Aston Villa22009:26
4VfB Stuttgart22006:16
5Liverpool22008:46
6Sporting Clube de Portugal22005:16
7Arsenal22004:06
8Real Madrid22006:46
9Real Betis22006:46
10Bayern Munich21018:34
11Shakhtar Donetsk21014:24
12Como21106:43
13Manchester United21104:23
14Villarreal21105:43
15Atletico Madrid21103:23
16Club Brugge21106:63
17Manchester City21104:43
18Borussia Dortmund21103:33
19RC Lens21103:43
20AEK Athens21102:33
21RasenBallsport Leipzig21102:43
22Sabah Baku21102:43
23Feyenoord21104:73
24Bodo-Glimt21101:53
25Roma20114:51
26PSV Eindhoven20111:21
27Viking20114:61
28Fenerbahce20111:71
29Internazionale Milano20204:60
30Porto20202:50
31Slavia Prague20202:50
32Napoli20201:40
33LASK Linz20203:70
34Lille OSC20202:60
35Galatasaray20202:70
36Slovan Bratislava20201:90
Promotion - Champions League (Play-off: Round of 16) Promotion - Champions League (Play-offs. Round of 32)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.