Sporting Clube de Portugal vs LASK Linz: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Sporting Clube de Portugal at 76%. The model leans toward Sporting Clube de Portugal. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Sporting Clube de Portugal.
- −The head-to-head record favours LASK Linz (1-0-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Sporting Clube de Portugal have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- LASK Linz have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sporting Clube de Portugal have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sporting Clube de Portugal is priced at 1.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 4 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sporting Clube de Portugal at 76%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts LASK Linz at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Sporting Clube de Portugal. Sporting Clube de Portugal is priced at 1.26. The draw is priced at 6.5. LASK Linz is priced at 9.3.
Sporting Clube de Portugal have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. LASK Linz have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Sporting Clube de Portugal have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Sporting Clube de Portugal are on 2 wins in a row. LASK Linz have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Sporting Clube de Portugal average 3 goals per game this season. Sporting Clube de Portugal average 38% possession. LASK Linz average 0 goals per game this season. LASK Linz average 51% possession.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sporting Clube de Portugal or LASK Linz?
Our model rates Sporting Clube de Portugal as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sporting Clube de Portugal vs LASK Linz?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Sporting Clube de Portugal wins, 0 draws, 2 LASK Linz wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:6 | 3 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 | |
| 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:7 | 1 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 | |
| 30 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 | |
| 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.