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UEFA Champions League

Club Brugge vs RC Lens: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Club Brugge Club BruggevsRC Lens RC Lens
Our predictionClub Brugge to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Club Brugge at 46%. The model leans toward Club Brugge. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Club Brugge46%
Draw25%
2 · RC Lens29%
1 · Club BruggeDraw2 · RC Lens
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.51+15.2%
1X2Club Brugge2.08+0.5%
1X2Draw3.74-0.2%
1X2RC Lens3.26-0.3%
BTTSNo2.42-15.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.71Club Brugge
xG
1.73RC Lens
Over 2.5 goals82%
Both teams to score77%
Team strength rating
Club Brugge
58
RC Lens
47

Most likely scorelines

2-17.5%
3-16.8%
2-26.5%
3-25.9%
1-15.5%
1-24.8%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Club Brugge RC Lens

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Club Brugge win2.08Fair
Double chanceClub Brugge or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
01221
136531
247642
347631
43542
51221

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Club Brugge at 46%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts RC Lens at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward Club Brugge. Club Brugge is priced at 2.08. The draw is priced at 3.74. RC Lens is priced at 3.26.

Club Brugge average 2 goals per game this season. Club Brugge average 64% possession. RC Lens average 3 goals per game this season. RC Lens average 63% possession.

The model gives 77% for both teams to score. The model gives 82% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Club Brugge or RC Lens?

Our model rates Club Brugge as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Club Brugge vs RC Lens?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Champions League (League stage)
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Paris Saint-Germain220010:36
2Barcelona22009:26
3Aston Villa22009:26
4VfB Stuttgart22006:16
5Liverpool22008:46
6Sporting Clube de Portugal22005:16
7Arsenal22004:06
8Real Madrid22006:46
9Real Betis22006:46
10Bayern Munich21018:34
11Shakhtar Donetsk21014:24
12Como21106:43
13Manchester United21104:23
14Villarreal21105:43
15Atletico Madrid21103:23
16Club Brugge21106:63
17Manchester City21104:43
18Borussia Dortmund21103:33
19RC Lens21103:43
20AEK Athens21102:33
21RasenBallsport Leipzig21102:43
22Sabah Baku21102:43
23Feyenoord21104:73
24Bodo-Glimt21101:53
25Roma20114:51
26PSV Eindhoven20111:21
27Viking20114:61
28Fenerbahce20111:71
29Internazionale Milano20204:60
30Porto20202:50
31Slavia Prague20202:50
32Napoli20201:40
33LASK Linz20203:70
34Lille OSC20202:60
35Galatasaray20202:70
36Slovan Bratislava20201:90
Promotion - Champions League (Play-off: Round of 16) Promotion - Champions League (Play-offs. Round of 32)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.