Club Brugge vs RC Lens: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Club Brugge at 46%. The model leans toward Club Brugge. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Brugge is priced at 2.08.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Brugge at 46%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts RC Lens at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Club Brugge. Club Brugge is priced at 2.08. The draw is priced at 3.74. RC Lens is priced at 3.26.
Club Brugge average 2 goals per game this season. Club Brugge average 64% possession. RC Lens average 3 goals per game this season. RC Lens average 63% possession.
The model gives 77% for both teams to score. The model gives 82% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Brugge or RC Lens?
Our model rates Club Brugge as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Brugge vs RC Lens?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League (League stage)| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:6 | 3 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 | |
| 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:7 | 1 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 | |
| 30 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 | |
| 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.