UEFA Europa League

Olympiacos Piraeus vs AC Sparta Prague: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Olympiacos Piraeusvs

AC Sparta Prague

Our predictionOlympiacos Piraeus to win

Model score: High · 67/100

Score hint: 3-1

The model puts Olympiacos Piraeus at 55%. The model leans toward Olympiacos Piraeus. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Olympiacos Piraeus55%

Draw24%

2 · AC Sparta Prague21%

1 · Olympiacos PiraeusDraw2 · AC Sparta Prague

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.70+23.2%

1X2Olympiacos Piraeus1.74+0.4%

1X2AC Sparta Prague4.52-0.2%

1X2Draw3.88-0.2%

BTTSNo2.05-23.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

3.63Olympiacos Piraeus

1.61AC Sparta Prague

Over 2.5 goals89%

Both teams to score78%

Team strength rating

Olympiacos Piraeus

AC Sparta Prague

Most likely scorelines

3-16.8%

4-16.2%

2-15.6%

3-25.5%

4-25.0%

2-24.5%

Match DNA

Olympiacos Piraeus AC Sparta Prague

Key points

Olympiacos Piraeus is priced at 1.74.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Olympiacos Piraeus win1.74Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0
1	2	3	3	1
2	3	6	5	2
3	4	7	5	3	1
4	4	6	5	3	1
5	3	4	4	2

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Olympiacos Piraeus at 55%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts AC Sparta Prague at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-1.

The market leans toward Olympiacos Piraeus. Olympiacos Piraeus is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.88. AC Sparta Prague is priced at 4.52.

Olympiacos Piraeus average 2 goals per game this season. Olympiacos Piraeus average 58% possession. AC Sparta Prague average 4 goals per game this season. AC Sparta Prague average 59% possession.

The model gives 78% for both teams to score. The model gives 89% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Olympiacos Piraeus or AC Sparta Prague?

Our model rates Olympiacos Piraeus as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Olympiacos Piraeus vs AC Sparta Prague?

A scoreline around 3-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	7:1	6
2	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6:0	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	6:1	6
4	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	7:3	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
6	AC Omonia	2	2	0	0	4:0	6
7	Ferencvarosi	2	2	0	0	5:2	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	5:3	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
10	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
11	AC Sparta Prague	2	1	0	1	5:2	4
12	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	2	1	0	1	4:1	4
13	Stade Rennais	2	1	0	1	2:1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	0	1	1:0	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	6:3	3
16	Milan	2	1	1	0	4:2	3
17	Jagiellonia Bialystok	2	1	1	0	4:3	3
18	OFI Crete	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
19	S.C.U. Torreense	2	1	1	0	3:3	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	2:2	3
21	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	1	0	1:4	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
25	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	0:3	1
27	N.E.C.	2	0	1	1	1:6	1
28	Celta	2	0	2	0	1:3	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	2	0	1:3	0
30	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	2:5	0
31	Viktoria Plzen	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
32	Olympique de Marseille	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
33	Celtic	2	0	2	0	2:7	0
34	Ararat - Armenia	2	0	2	0	2:7	0
35	Celje	2	0	2	0	0:5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	2	0	0:8	0