Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at 63%. The model leans toward Royale Union Saint-Gilloise. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise is priced at 1.52.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at 63%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Royale Union Saint-Gilloise. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise is priced at 1.52. The draw is priced at 4.52. Hapoel Be'er Sheva is priced at 5.75.
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise average 3 goals per game this season. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise average 51% possession. Hapoel Be'er Sheva average 0 goals per game this season. Hapoel Be'er Sheva average 66% possession.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise or Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
Our model rates Royale Union Saint-Gilloise as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Europa League - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:0 | 4 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 | |
| 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 | |
| 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 | |
| 30 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.