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UEFA Europa League

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Royale Union Saint-GilloisevsHapoel Be'er Sheva Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Our predictionRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise to win
Model score: High · 81/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at 63%. The model leans toward Royale Union Saint-Gilloise. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise63%
Draw21%
2 · Hapoel Be'er Sheva16%
1 · Royale Union Saint-GilloiseDraw2 · Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.08+8.8%
1X2Royale Union Saint-Gilloise1.52+0.3%
1X2Hapoel Be'er Sheva5.75-0.1%
1X2Draw4.52-0.2%
BTTSYes1.68-8.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
68
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
40

Expected goals

2.23Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
xG
0.74Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score47%

Most likely scorelines

2-012.8%
1-011.5%
3-09.5%
2-19.4%
1-18.5%
3-17.0%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Royale Union Saint-Gilloise win1.52Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0541
11183
21393
31073
4541
522

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at 63%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Royale Union Saint-Gilloise. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise is priced at 1.52. The draw is priced at 4.52. Hapoel Be'er Sheva is priced at 5.75.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise average 3 goals per game this season. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise average 51% possession. Hapoel Be'er Sheva average 0 goals per game this season. Hapoel Be'er Sheva average 66% possession.

The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise or Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

Our model rates Royale Union Saint-Gilloise as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Juventus22007:16
2Bayer 04 Leverkusen22006:06
3Benfica22006:16
4Besiktas22007:36
5Bournemouth22005:16
6AC Omonia22004:06
7Ferencvarosi22005:26
8Lyon22005:36
9Sunderland22003:16
10Olympiacos Piraeus22003:16
11AC Sparta Prague21015:24
12Royale Union Saint-Gilloise21014:14
13Stade Rennais21012:14
14Dinamo Zagreb21011:04
15Crystal Palace21106:33
16Milan21104:23
17Jagiellonia Bialystok21104:33
18OFI Crete21103:23
19S.C.U. Torreense21103:33
20AZ Alkmaar21102:23
21FC Salzburg21101:43
22Real Sociedad20112:31
23Lillestrom20112:31
24Levski Sofia20111:21
25Hapoel Be'er Sheva20111:21
26Sturm Graz20110:31
27N.E.C.20111:61
28Celta20201:30
29Anderlecht20201:30
30TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20202:50
31Viktoria Plzen20201:50
32Olympique de Marseille20201:50
33Celtic20202:70
34Ararat - Armenia20202:70
35Celje20200:50
36Lech Poznan20200:80
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.