UEFA Europa League

AC Omonia vs Benfica: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

AC Omoniavs

Benfica

Our predictionBenfica to win

Model score: Medium · 45/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Benfica at 59%. The model leans toward Benfica. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · AC Omonia17%

Draw23%

2 · Benfica59%

1 · AC OmoniaDraw2 · Benfica

Full team comparison →

Team strength rating

AC Omonia

Benfica

Most likely scorelines

0-111.4%

0-211.2%

1-110.1%

1-29.9%

0-37.3%

1-36.4%

Expected goals

0.89AC Omonia

1.95Benfica

Over 2.5 goals54%

Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AC Omonia Benfica

Key points

Benfica is priced at 1.59.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Benfica win1.59Fair (-0.5%)

Double chanceBenfica or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	11	11	7	4	1
1	5	10	10	6	3	1
2	2	4	4	3	1
3		1	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2AC Omonia5.70+0.7%

BTTSNo1.88+0.1%

BTTSYes1.84-0.1%

1X2Draw4.02-0.2%

1X2Benfica1.59-0.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts AC Omonia at 17%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Benfica at 59%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Benfica. AC Omonia is priced at 5.7. The draw is priced at 4.02. Benfica is priced at 1.59.

AC Omonia average 1 goals per game this season. AC Omonia average 46% possession. Benfica average 2 goals per game this season. Benfica average 39% possession.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, AC Omonia or Benfica?

Our model rates Benfica as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for AC Omonia vs Benfica?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	7:1	6
2	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6:0	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	6:1	6
4	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	7:3	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	5:1	6
6	AC Omonia	2	2	0	0	4:0	6
7	Ferencvarosi	2	2	0	0	5:2	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	5:3	6
9	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
10	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	2	0	0	3:1	6
11	AC Sparta Prague	2	1	0	1	5:2	4
12	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	2	1	0	1	4:1	4
13	Stade Rennais	2	1	0	1	2:1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	0	1	1:0	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	6:3	3
16	Milan	2	1	1	0	4:2	3
17	Jagiellonia Bialystok	2	1	1	0	4:3	3
18	OFI Crete	2	1	1	0	3:2	3
19	S.C.U. Torreense	2	1	1	0	3:3	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	2:2	3
21	FC Salzburg	2	1	1	0	1:4	3
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
24	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
25	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	0:3	1
27	N.E.C.	2	0	1	1	1:6	1
28	Celta	2	0	2	0	1:3	0
29	Anderlecht	2	0	2	0	1:3	0
30	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	2:5	0
31	Viktoria Plzen	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
32	Olympique de Marseille	2	0	2	0	1:5	0
33	Celtic	2	0	2	0	2:7	0
34	Ararat - Armenia	2	0	2	0	2:7	0
35	Celje	2	0	2	0	0:5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	2	0	0:8	0