Scottland vs Atletico Petroleos Luanda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Scottlandvs
Atletico Petroleos LuandaThe model puts Atletico Petroleos Luanda at 47%. The model leans toward Atletico Petroleos Luanda. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Atletico Petroleos Luanda have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Atletico Petroleos Luanda is priced at 1.92.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Scottland at 23%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Atletico Petroleos Luanda at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Atletico Petroleos Luanda. Scottland is priced at 4.025. The draw is priced at 2.94. Atletico Petroleos Luanda is priced at 1.92.
Atletico Petroleos Luanda have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 26% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Scottland or Atletico Petroleos Luanda?
Our model rates Atletico Petroleos Luanda as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Scottland vs Atletico Petroleos Luanda?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedNo goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: Scottland 0 – 0 Atletico Petroleos Luanda.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.