MAS Fez vs ASEC Mimosas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
MAS Fezvs
ASEC MimosasThe model puts MAS Fez at 64%. The model leans toward MAS Fez. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- MAS Fez have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- MAS Fez is priced at 1.42.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 23 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts MAS Fez at 64%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts ASEC Mimosas at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward MAS Fez. MAS Fez is priced at 1.42. The draw is priced at 3.35. ASEC Mimosas is priced at 9.35.
MAS Fez have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 28% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, MAS Fez or ASEC Mimosas?
Our model rates MAS Fez as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for MAS Fez vs ASEC Mimosas?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.