Asswehly vs Esperance de Tunis: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Asswehlyvs
Esperance de TunisThe model puts Esperance de Tunis at 63%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Esperance de Tunis is priced at 1.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Asswehly at 13%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Esperance de Tunis at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Esperance de Tunis. Asswehly is priced at 7.5. The draw is priced at 3.75. Esperance de Tunis is priced at 1.41.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Asswehly or Esperance de Tunis?
Our model rates Esperance de Tunis as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Asswehly vs Esperance de Tunis?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: Asswehly 0 – 0 Esperance de Tunis.
Asswehly make it count (Unknown (64')). It's 1–0 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.