Slavia Prague vs Mlada Boleslav: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Slavia Praguevs
Mlada BoleslavThe model puts Slavia Prague at 76%. The model leans toward Slavia Prague. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Slavia Prague (14-1-0).
- −Slavia Prague are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Mlada Boleslav are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Slavia Prague have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mlada Boleslav have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slavia Prague have won 14 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Slavia Prague will be without Chaloupek, Ogbu I., Ouanda, Pitak, Chory T., Schranz I., Jurasek D..
- Mlada Boleslav will be without Gora, Kadlec, Mares, Ogungbayi, Лехки.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Slavia Prague at 76%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Mlada Boleslav at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Slavia Prague. Slavia Prague is priced at 1.232. The draw is priced at 6.2. Mlada Boleslav is priced at 9.4.
Slavia Prague have won 14 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Slavia Prague have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Mlada Boleslav have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Slavia Prague or Mlada Boleslav?
Our model rates Slavia Prague as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Slavia Prague vs Mlada Boleslav?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 14 Slavia Prague wins, 1 draws, 0 Mlada Boleslav wins.
Match statistics
Slavia Prague
- 3Holes
- 4Zima D.
- 6N'Guessan An.
- 8Kubiak
- 13Chytil M.
- 15Souleyman
- 16Moses
- 17Provod
- 20Ayaosi
- 23Sadilek
- 35Markovic J.
- Chaloupek (Missing Player)
- Ogbu I. (Missing Player)
- Ouanda (Missing Player)
- Pitak (Missing Player)
- Chory T. (Missing Player)
- Schranz I. (Missing Player)
- Jurasek D. (Missing Player)
Mlada Boleslav
- 3Kralik M.
- 11Hybs M.
- 19Kozel D.
- 20Solomon
- 21Subert Ma.
- 23Klima J.
- 28Langhamer
- 32Jakub Matousek
- 44Karafiat
- 59Floder
- 76Zika
- Gora (Missing Player)
- Kadlec (Missing Player)
- Mares (Missing Player)
- Ogungbayi (Missing Player)
- Лехки (Missing Player)
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26:6 | 27 |
| 2 |  Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 20 |
| 4 |  Sigma Olomouc | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Sparta Prague | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20:12 | 19 |
| 6 |  Zbrojovka | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 19 |
| 7 |  Jablonec | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 8 |  Teplice | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Viktoria Plzen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 16 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 15 |
| 11 |  Hradec Kralove | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Banik Ostrava | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 7:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis Brno | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 15 |  1. Slovacko | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlin | 11 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 8:23 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.