USA. MLS

Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Colorado Rapidsvs

Vancouver Whitecaps

Our predictionVancouver Whitecaps to win

Model score: Low · 23/100

Score hint: 1-2

The model puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Colorado Rapids.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
+Colorado Rapids are dealing with notable absentees.
−Vancouver Whitecaps are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Colorado Rapids33%

Draw25%

2 · Vancouver Whitecaps42%

1 · Colorado RapidsDraw2 · Vancouver Whitecaps

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.62+12.9%

BTTSYes1.52+10.2%

1X2Colorado Rapids3.12+2.8%

1X2Draw3.76-0.7%

1X2Vancouver Whitecaps2.15-2.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.78Colorado Rapids

1.92Vancouver Whitecaps

Over 2.5 goals72%

Both teams to score71%

Recent form

Colorado RapidsWDDLD

Vancouver WhitecapsDDDLD

Most likely scorelines

1-18.4%

1-28.1%

2-17.5%

2-27.2%

1-35.2%

0-14.7%

Team strength rating

Colorado Rapids

Vancouver Whitecaps

Match DNA

Colorado Rapids Vancouver Whitecaps

Key points

Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Colorado Rapids have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Colorado Rapids will be without Fadal, Ku-DiPietro, Cannon R., Maziz Yo., Steffen Z..
Vancouver Whitecaps will be without Cabrera Nakamura, Halbouni, Adekugbe, Muller.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Vancouver Whitecaps win2.15Fair (-2.2%)

Double chanceVancouver Whitecaps or draw—Info

Total goalsOver 2.51.62Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	2	5	5	3	1
1	4	8	8	5	2
2	4	8	7	5	2
3	2	4	4	3	1
4	1	2	2	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Colorado Rapids at 33%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.

The market leans toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Colorado Rapids is priced at 3.115. The draw is priced at 3.76. Vancouver Whitecaps is priced at 2.145.

Colorado Rapids have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Vancouver Whitecaps have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.

Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Vancouver Whitecaps have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

Colorado Rapids average 2 goals per game this season. Colorado Rapids average 58% possession. Vancouver Whitecaps average 2 goals per game this season. Vancouver Whitecaps average 57% possession.

The model gives 71% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Colorado Rapids or Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our model rates Vancouver Whitecaps as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 15 meetings: 6 Colorado Rapids wins, 4 draws, 5 Vancouver Whitecaps wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchGauldVancouver Whitecaps8.2

Colorado Rapids

Starting XI

5Williams5.9
6Holding R.6.2
7Whittaker M.6.4
10Aaronson6.2
12Atencio6.7
13Frederick6.0
29Navarro Mar.6.6
32Phillip6.5
33Thompson7.0
41Defreitas Hansen7.6
77Yapi6.5

Unavailable

Fadal (Questionable)
Ku-DiPietro (Questionable)
Cannon R. (Questionable)
Maziz Yo. (Questionable)
Steffen Z. (Missing Player)

Coach: Matthew Elliott Wells

Vancouver Whitecaps

Starting XI

1Takaoka6.9
2Laborda Ma.7.0
8Larraz6.7
14Caicedo7.0
18Ocampo6.7
20Cubas A.7.1
24White B.6.2
25Gauld8.2
28Johnson8.0
33Blackmon7.0
77Diaby7.9

Unavailable

Cabrera Nakamura (Questionable)
Halbouni (Questionable)
Adekugbe (Missing Player)
Muller (Missing Player)

Coach: Jesper Sorensen

League table

USA. MLS

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	30	16	7	7	63:31	55
2	St. Louis City	30	14	7	9	56:41	51
3	Dallas	30	14	7	9	55:47	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	30	13	8	9	52:42	48
5	Houston Dynamo	30	13	9	8	41:39	47
6	Los Angeles	31	12	9	10	48:33	46
7	Seattle Sounders	30	11	10	9	39:37	42
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	31	10	11	10	43:52	40
9	Colorado Rapids	30	11	13	6	41:41	39
10	Real Salt Lake	30	10	14	6	45:48	36
11	Portland Timbers	30	9	14	7	51:56	34
12	San Diego	30	8	12	10	53:56	34
13	Minnesota United	30	8	12	10	47:55	34
14	Austin	30	7	13	10	38:56	31
15	Sporting Kansas City	30	6	20	4	36:75	22

Promotion - USA. MLS (Play-off: Round of 16) Promotion - USA. MLS (Play-off: Round of 32)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.