VfL Osnabruck vs Greuther Furth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfL Osnabruckvs
Greuther FurthThe model puts Greuther Furth at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Greuther Furth.
- +Greuther Furth score more per game (1.0 at home vs 2.0 away).
- +The head-to-head record favours Greuther Furth (3-4-7).
- +Greuther Furth creates more chances (13 vs 16 shots per game).
- −Greuther Furth are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- VfL Osnabruck have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greuther Furth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Osnabruck have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Greuther Furth will be without Dal, Zank.
- Greuther Furth is priced at 2.86.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfL Osnabruck at 38%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Greuther Furth at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. VfL Osnabruck is priced at 2.27. The draw is priced at 3.58. Greuther Furth is priced at 2.86.
VfL Osnabruck have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Greuther Furth have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
VfL Osnabruck have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Greuther Furth have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
VfL Osnabruck average 1 goals per game this season. VfL Osnabruck average 42% possession. Greuther Furth average 2 goals per game this season. Greuther Furth average 47% possession.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfL Osnabruck or Greuther Furth?
Our model rates Greuther Furth as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfL Osnabruck vs Greuther Furth?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 3 VfL Osnabruck wins, 4 draws, 7 Greuther Furth wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:13 | 15 |
| 4 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:4 | 15 |
| 5 |  1. Heidenheim | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 6 |  1. Magdeburg | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 7 |  St. Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 8 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 |  Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 10 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabruck | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 14 |  Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 16 |  VfL Bochum | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 17 |  Darmstadt 98 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Holstein | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.