Viking vs Tromso: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vikingvs
TromsoThe model puts Viking at 63%. The model leans toward Viking. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Tromso.
- −The head-to-head record favours Tromso (2-7-6).
- −Viking are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Tromso are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Viking have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tromso have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viking have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Viking will be without Baertelsen A., Bjorshol, D'Agostino N., Middelthon, Roseth, Berisha V.
- Tromso will be without Prestmo, Tonnessen.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Viking at 63%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Tromso at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Viking. Viking is priced at 1.5. The draw is priced at 4.74. Tromso is priced at 5.65.
Viking have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Tromso have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 7 of their head-to-head meetings.
Viking have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Tromso have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Viking or Tromso?
Our model rates Viking as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Viking vs Tromso?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Viking wins, 7 draws, 6 Tromso wins.
Match statistics
Viking
- 1Ostbo
- 5Heggheim
- 6Stensness G.
- 7Askildsen
- 8Bell J.
- 10Tripic
- 16Bjordal H.
- 20Christiansen P.
- 22Botheim
- 25Falchener
- 28Haugen
- Baertelsen A. (Missing Player)
- Bjorshol (Missing Player)
- D'Agostino N. (Missing Player)
- Middelthon (Questionable)
- Roseth (Missing Player)
- Berisha V (Missing Player)
Tromso
- 1Haugaard J.
- 4Skjaervik
- 5Edvardsson D.
- 10Nyhammer
- 11Reijnen
- 21Хин
- 22Larsen
- 29Thongla-Iad Warneryd
- 30Vadebu
- 37Innvaer
- 70Bjorlo
- Prestmo (Missing Player)
- Tonnessen (Questionable)
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 59:22 | 56 |
| 2 |  Bodo-Glimt | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:21 | 56 |
| 3 |  Molde | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 52:35 | 40 |
| 4 | Tromso | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 42:31 | 40 |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 43:31 | 37 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 32:31 | 36 |
| 7 |  Brann | 23 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 40:37 | 29 |
| 8 |  Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 9 |  Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 28:36 | 29 |
| 10 |  KFUM-Kameratene | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 28:37 | 29 |
| 11 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 28:34 | 28 |
| 12 |  HamKam | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 33:48 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 22:30 | 24 |
| 14 |  Aalesunds | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39:51 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 23:47 | 19 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 23 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 25:54 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.