Torino vs Como: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Torinovs
ComoThe model puts Como at 52%. The model leans toward Como. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Torino have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Como have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Torino have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Como is priced at 1.77.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Torino at 21%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Como at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Como. Torino is priced at 4.56. The draw is priced at 3.72. Como is priced at 1.77.
Torino have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Como have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Torino have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Como have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Torino average 1 goals per game this season. Torino average 47% possession. Como average 2 goals per game this season. Como average 60% possession.
The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Torino or Como?
Our model rates Como as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Torino vs Como?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 4 Torino wins, 1 draws, 3 Como wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4 |  Milan | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 6 |  Cagliari Calcio | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Frosinone Calcio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 11 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 14 |  Bologna 1909 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 15 |  Monza 1912 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 16 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Udinese Calcio | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6:16 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.