Sassuolo Calcio vs Lazio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sassuolo Calciovs
LazioThe model puts Sassuolo Calcio at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Sassuolo Calcio.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sassuolo Calcio (7-4-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Sassuolo Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lazio have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sassuolo Calcio have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sassuolo Calcio is priced at 2.856.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sassuolo Calcio at 38%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Lazio at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Sassuolo Calcio is priced at 2.856. The draw is priced at 3.4. Lazio is priced at 2.44.
Sassuolo Calcio have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Lazio have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sassuolo Calcio have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Lazio have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Sassuolo Calcio average 3 goals per game this season. Sassuolo Calcio average 44% possession. Lazio average 2 goals per game this season. Lazio average 51% possession.
The model gives 79% for both teams to score. The model gives 82% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sassuolo Calcio or Lazio?
Our model rates Sassuolo Calcio as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sassuolo Calcio vs Lazio?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Sassuolo Calcio wins, 4 draws, 4 Lazio wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 3 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4 |  Milan | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Como | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 6 |  Cagliari Calcio | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Frosinone Calcio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 11 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Sassuolo Calcio | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 13 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 14 |  Bologna 1909 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 15 |  Monza 1912 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 16 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Udinese Calcio | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6:16 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.