Unione Venezia vs Internazionale Milano: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Unione Veneziavs
Internazionale MilanoThe model puts Internazionale Milano at 67%. The model leans toward Internazionale Milano. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Unione Venezia.
- −The head-to-head record favours Unione Venezia (8-1-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Unione Venezia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Internazionale Milano have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Unione Venezia have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Internazionale Milano is priced at 1.304.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Unione Venezia at 19%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Internazionale Milano at 67%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Internazionale Milano. Unione Venezia is priced at 8.2. The draw is priced at 6.05. Internazionale Milano is priced at 1.304.
Unione Venezia have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Internazionale Milano have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Unione Venezia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Unione Venezia are on 2 wins in a row. Internazionale Milano have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Unione Venezia average 1 goals per game this season. Unione Venezia average 67% possession. Internazionale Milano average 1 goals per game this season. Internazionale Milano average 65% possession.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 35% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Unione Venezia or Internazionale Milano?
Our model rates Internazionale Milano as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Unione Venezia vs Internazionale Milano?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 11 meetings: 8 Unione Venezia wins, 1 draws, 2 Internazionale Milano wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internazionale Milano | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4 |  Milan | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Como | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 6 |  Cagliari Calcio | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Frosinone Calcio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 11 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 13 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 14 |  Bologna 1909 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 15 |  Monza 1912 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 16 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Udinese Calcio | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 20 | Unione Venezia | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6:16 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.