Schalke 04 vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Schalke 04vs
RasenBallsport LeipzigThe model puts RasenBallsport Leipzig at 51%. The model leans toward RasenBallsport Leipzig. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours RasenBallsport Leipzig.
- −The head-to-head record favours Schalke 04 (8-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Schalke 04 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RasenBallsport Leipzig have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Schalke 04 have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- RasenBallsport Leipzig is priced at 1.86.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Schalke 04 at 28%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts RasenBallsport Leipzig at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward RasenBallsport Leipzig. Schalke 04 is priced at 3.6. The draw is priced at 4.2. RasenBallsport Leipzig is priced at 1.86.
Schalke 04 have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. RasenBallsport Leipzig have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Schalke 04 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. RasenBallsport Leipzig have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Schalke 04 or RasenBallsport Leipzig?
Our model rates RasenBallsport Leipzig as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Schalke 04 vs RasenBallsport Leipzig?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 8 Schalke 04 wins, 2 draws, 3 RasenBallsport Leipzig wins.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 |  Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 |  Hamburger | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 |  Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 |  1. Koln | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 |  VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 |  Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8:20 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.