Bodo-Glimt vs Lille OSC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 50%. The model leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.925.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 50%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Lille OSC at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.925. The draw is priced at 3.82. Lille OSC is priced at 3.68.
Bodo-Glimt average 0 goals per game this season. Bodo-Glimt average 34% possession. Lille OSC average 2 goals per game this season. Lille OSC average 45% possession.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bodo-Glimt or Lille OSC?
Our model rates Bodo-Glimt as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bodo-Glimt vs Lille OSC?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:7 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:6 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:8 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:7 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:9 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 30 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | 2 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:10 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:13 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.