Slavia Prague vs Arsenal: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Slavia Praguevs
ArsenalThe model puts Arsenal at 75%. The model leans toward Arsenal. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Arsenal.
- +The head-to-head record favours Arsenal (0-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Slavia Prague have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Arsenal have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Arsenal is priced at 1.285.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Slavia Prague at 11%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Arsenal at 75%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Arsenal. Slavia Prague is priced at 8.6. The draw is priced at 6.3. Arsenal is priced at 1.285.
Arsenal have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Slavia Prague have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Arsenal have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
Slavia Prague average 2 goals per game this season. Slavia Prague average 37% possession. Arsenal average 1 goals per game this season. Arsenal average 58% possession.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 53% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Slavia Prague or Arsenal?
Our model rates Arsenal as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Slavia Prague vs Arsenal?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Slavia Prague wins, 2 draws, 3 Arsenal wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Champions League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting Clube de Portugal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern Munich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Internazionale Milano | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  LASK Linz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah Baku | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  RC Lens | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo-Glimt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Prague | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  Porto | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille OSC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:13 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.