UEFA Europa League

N.E.C. vs AC Omonia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

N.E.C.vs

AC Omonia

Our predictionN.E.C. to win

Model score: High · 69/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts N.E.C. at 55%. The model leans toward N.E.C.. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · N.E.C.55%

Draw23%

2 · AC Omonia23%

1 · N.E.C.Draw2 · AC Omonia

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.45+39.4%

1X2N.E.C.1.74+0.4%

1X2Draw4.16-0.2%

1X2AC Omonia4.16-0.2%

BTTSYes1.50-39.4%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.97N.E.C.

0.45AC Omonia

Over 2.5 goals17%

Both teams to score23%

Team strength rating

N.E.C.

AC Omonia

Most likely scorelines

0-024.1%

1-023.4%

2-011.4%

0-110.9%

1-110.6%

2-15.1%

Match DNA

N.E.C. AC Omonia

Key points

N.E.C. is priced at 1.744.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2N.E.C. win1.74Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	24	11	2
1	23	11	2
2	11	5	1
3	4	2
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts N.E.C. at 55%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts AC Omonia at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward N.E.C.. N.E.C. is priced at 1.744. The draw is priced at 4.16. AC Omonia is priced at 4.16.

N.E.C. average 0 goals per game this season. N.E.C. average 52% possession. AC Omonia average 1 goals per game this season. AC Omonia average 46% possession.

The model gives 23% for both teams to score. The model gives 17% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, N.E.C. or AC Omonia?

Our model rates N.E.C. as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for N.E.C. vs AC Omonia?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Europa League - League stage

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	10:2	9
2	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	3	0	0	8:0	9
3	Bournemouth	3	3	0	0	8:1	9
4	Ferencvarosi	3	3	0	0	9:3	9
5	Olympiacos Piraeus	3	3	0	0	4:1	9
6	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	3	2	0	1	8:1	7
7	Juventus	3	2	0	1	9:3	7
8	Besiktas	3	2	0	1	9:5	7
9	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	4:2	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	6:2	6
11	AC Omonia	3	2	1	0	5:4	6
12	Lyon	3	2	1	0	5:6	6
13	Stade Rennais	3	1	0	2	4:3	5
14	Real Sociedad	3	1	1	1	8:3	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	8:5	4
16	AC Sparta Prague	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
17	Levski Sofia	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
18	Dinamo Zagreb	3	1	1	1	3:4	4
19	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	1:3	4
20	N.E.C.	3	1	1	1	5:8	4
21	Red Bull Salzburg	3	1	1	1	3:6	4
22	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	4:3	3
23	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	3	1	2	0	5:5	3
24	Milan	3	1	2	0	4:5	3
25	Celta	3	1	2	0	3:4	3
26	OFI Crete	3	1	2	0	3:4	3
27	Jagiellonia Bialystok	3	1	2	0	4:6	3
28	S.C.U. Torreense	3	1	2	0	4:7	3
29	Celje	3	0	2	1	2:7	1
30	Hapoel Be'er Sheva	3	0	2	1	1:6	1
31	Lillestrom	3	0	2	1	2:9	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	0	2	1	1:9	1
33	Viktoria Plzen	3	0	3	0	2:7	0
34	Olympique de Marseille	3	0	3	0	1:6	0
35	Celtic	3	0	3	0	3:9	0
36	Ararat - Armenia	3	0	3	0	2:11	0